Polling

Bernie Sanders Wins WIU’s Historically Accurate Mock Election

The Road to the White House starts at Western Illinois University

WIU recently held their traditional mock election. It is an incredibly intricate and organized event starting with primary and caucuses and finishing up with a mock general election.

Dr. Rick Hardy and Dr. John Hemingway have been leading Mock Presidential Elections since 1975. During that time, students who have participated in these mock elections have chosen the winning party with 100% accuracy and have an astonishing record in selecting presidential winners. 

On the Democratic side for the Primaries Sanders won by close to a 2 to 1 margin over challenger Hillary Clinton. Martin O’Malley finished the primary with about 1/18 of Bernie’s take of the delegates. See chart below.

2D Official Results

After nominating Sanders, the student Democrats put him up against Jeb Bush, who received the Republican nomination. with Bernie winning the electoral college by nearly a 4 to 1 margin and a decisive win for the popular vote.

WIU election

Electoral Tally Official Results

History of the Mock Presidential Election: This simulation always takes place the year before the presidential election year, and three months before the actual Iowa caucuses. The genesis of this mock presidential election began at the University of Iowa in 1975 with two political science doctoral students, John Hemingway and Rick Hardy. In that year, students selected Jimmy Carter over Gerald Ford—long before anyone really knew of Jimmy Carter. In the years that followed, Rick Hardy expanded the format and engaged thousands of students at the University of Missouri-Columbia where students registered a perfect record of selecting the subsequent winning presidential party. In 2007 and 2011, Hardy and Hemingway teamed up again to conduct a massive campus-wide simulation at Western Illinois University. In 2007, Western students selected Barack Obama as president at a time when no one thought he could win! And, in 2011, students narrowly re-elected President Obama over the GOP ticket of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan! How’s that for reality!

For more information on the mock election click HERE

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4 Comments

  1. Okay, I re-read your sentence and see that you did not state at Western IL University; however, we’re getting questions about the MPE at WIU since 1975. This article, I think, is where the questions are coming from. At least now I can point people to this article. Thanks!

    • admin

      Hi there, yes I took everything straight from the website.

  2. Bernie has already won the hearts and minds of thinking plebeians. Let’s all vote Socrates, and they can’t poison us all!

  3. Bernadette

    I would like to see the results against the other candidates as well. Bush right now is a soft target. I believe the public is realizing that a vote for Bush would be the definition of insanity. I do believe however, that no matter the who the Republicans run, Sanders will be our next President.