News, Polling

Sanders’ Camp Encouraged By Latest Polling Results

Bernie 2016

From BernieSanders.com

Recent polls for major news organizations contained “very encouraging news” for Sen. Bernie Sanders and warning signs on Hillary Clinton’s general election prospects should she win the nomination, according to a memorandum by polling and strategic consulting expert Ben Tulchin. Significantly, Sanders fares better than Clinton in many head-to-head matchups with leading Republicans.

The independent surveys show the senator from Vermont continues to close the gap with the former secretary of state while voters’ familiarity with Sanders and his favorability ratings are steadily rising, Sanders’ pollster said. Moreover, Sanders’ agenda has dominated the debate. His message about a rigged economy propped up by a corrupt campaign finance system “is driving the issue agenda within the Democratic primary,” Tulchin wrote.

Looking ahead to next year’s general election, Sanders is much more popular than Clinton with independents and he is much better positioned with Republicans, factors Tulchin said raise “real questions as to which of these leading Democratic candidates is in fact the best positioned for the general election.”

In several recent surveys Sanders outperformed Clinton in matchups with Republicans. In a Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll released on Nov. 3, Sanders outpolled Donald Trump by nine points, 50 percent to 41 percent, and the Vermont senator beat Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida by five points, 46 percent to 41 percent. In a McClatchy/Marist poll released Nov. 13, Sanders outpolled Donald Trump, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Sen. Ted Cruz and Carly Fiorina. Sanders outperformed Clinton against Cruz and Bush. In a new poll in Colorado, Sanders fared better than Clinton when pitted against four leading Republican White House hopefuls. Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, said Clinton “would get bruised and beaten by all the top GOP opponents, and absolutely crushed” by Rubio or Carson.

With the first primaries and caucuses less than three months away, the survey findings warn that Clinton “has real vulnerabilities within the Democratic primary electorate,” particularly for “being too close to special interests and Wall Street.”

The analysis of recent polls for CBS News, NBC News, The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal underscored the fact that Sanders has closed the gap with Clinton since he declared his candidacy on April 30. Half a year ago, Sanders barely registered in polls and pundits dismissed his chances. Today, Sanders “has made tremendous progress and is now the leading Democratic challenger to Hillary Clinton and within striking distance of her,” according to the memo.

Nationally, Sanders trailed by 30 points in a New York Times/CBS News poll in September (58 percent to 28 percent) but trailed by only 19 points (52 percent to 33 percent) in the latest survey. In fact, Sanders gained a net 5 points on Hillary over the past month, a period one published report declared “the best month ever” for Clinton.

In Iowa and New Hampshire, the states with the first caucuses and primary elections next February, the survey show that the more people know about Sanders the better they like him. “The bottom line is that as Democratic primary voters in key early voting states become more familiar with Sanders, they very much like what they hear and are much more likely to vote for him, thereby putting Sanders on a trajectory to make the Democratic primary horserace even more competitive as he campaigns aggressively and begins to advertise to get his message out more broadly.,” the pollster wrote.

To put the numbers in historical context, then-Sen. Barack Obama in 2007 trailed Clinton by 27 points at the same stage of that campaign. A Gallup Poll released on Nov. 16, 2007, put her ahead with 48 percent of the vote to Obama’s 21 percent.

8 Comments

  1. Billy

    Assuming these polling companies are accurate. Polls released by different pollsters. Varying by as much as thirty points. Claiming low margins of error. Something smells fishy.

  2. Oren

    We cannot, and will not screw up this time. We have a leader who leads us! ALL of us. He is us. 99% of us don’t have the money, but damn it–we have 99% of the vote!

  3. Senator Bernie Sanders has all the qualities and abilities and past record that prove he is a true leader and a champion for the best interest of all Americans. Bernie is kind, loyal, honest, humble, authentic, energetic, dedicated, intelligent, experienced, and passionate about helping every single child succeed in this country, thus building a stronger USA for future generations. Bernie Sanders is the best hope we have in winning the national election.

  4. Bernie Sanders is our only hope to be our next President he is for working class people and not the super rich ,and he will save the Social Security for the next generation

  5. John de Clef Pineiro, Esq.

    When have only one major party primary candidate whose most important issues are Ameirca’s most important issues, THE CHOICE IS OBVIOUS!

    In 2008, the majority of the electorate that voted wanted CHANGE

  6. John de Clef Pineiro, Esq.

    When have only one major party primary candidate whose most important issues are Ameirca’s most important issues, THE CHOICE IS OBVIOUS!

    In 2008, the majority of the electorate that voted wanted CHANGE, not Clinton. When the need for REAL CHANGE is even greater today, most voters will AGAIN for REAL CHANGE, not Clinton。

  7. John de Clef Pineiro, Esq.

    When have only one major party primary candidate whose most important issues are Ameirca’s most important issues, THE CHOICE IS OBVIOUS!

    In 2008, the majority of the electorate that voted wanted CHANGE, not Clinton. When the need for REAL CHANGE is even greater today, most voters will AGAIN vote for REAL CHANGE, not Clinton。

    [Sorry for the typographic irregularities。  I’m writing from the far east on an Asian language computer, not my home computer in NYC, USA。]

  8. MrK

    Most polls are skewed against the Bernie Sanders strongest demographics – young people.

    Whenever you see a poll that shows Hillary Clinton 20 or 30 points ahead of Bernie Sanders, that is what you’re looking at. So ask yourself 3 questions:

    1) who was polled
    2) what questions were asked
    3) what answers were given

    That is all you need to puncture through the meme that Hillary Clinton is leading and that ‘somehow’ the DNC way is the most popular in the country because… voters all of a sudden are concerned about gunlaws and military security, above jobs and debt?