It’s go time, Berners.
We’re at the peak critical moment. This is it—Saturday, Sunday, Monday, Tuesday—and there are some key things you can do to EDUCATE, INFORM, and BLUNT VOTER SUPPRESSION.
FIRST, A QUICK LOOK AT WHERE WE ARE: Sanders is at what even some mainstream media are starting to admit is a strong, incredible place. He has won 20 races, and 9 million votes that we know of (probably more, since votes in his typically big-winning caucus states are not included in vote totals). Without a Super Pac or money from lobbyists and corporations, without billionaires, he has outraised every political candidate in history in terms of individual donations (and frequently outraised his Super Pac opponent during the race) with about 8 million individual contributions.
He has 63% of the delegates needed to clinch and 46% of those pledged so far. Close enough to half for a candidate who started with zero name recognition and 70 points down in the polls a year ago, and who’s prevailed over every attempt by the media, the political establishment, and his opponent to suppress and hijack the vote; to ignore, black out, smear, distort, disqualify; and to otherwise marginalize him.
He stands a great chance doing very well in California and the other races. He plans to and likely will go into a contested convention with a great deal of momentum and a strong case to the superdelegates that he is the best candidate for the job. That’s based on polling; his immense and still-expanding strength and base especially over the last few months,; and his following/turnout with voters under 45 and Independents. Not the best candidate to keep the oligarchy all cozily preserved, no. But best for the middle class, the nation and the planet. And, more germane to the super delegates, even if those things are not—the best by miles to beat Donald Trump, which is the supposed Mission #1 of the Democratic Party. (I say supposed because it often appears as if they’d rather risk losing in a desperate bid to get their queen coronated. They’d rather try to keep their toxic oligarchy intact than to actually beat Trump.)
Clinton meanwhile will have lost many of the final few months of races, turning out anemic crowds and polling pitifully against Trump nationally and in key states. And now—thankfully, from a justice point of view if nothing else—getting nailed on her email/server behavior and (some feel worse) the lying about it, and her arrogance that veracity just wasn’t that important. That debacle is unraveling to the point where even the most stubborn or dimwitted pundits and surrogates are having a hard time ‘splaining. Indeed, without voter suppression, election fraud and media hyper-sympathy, it’s likely that Clinton would be well behind Sanders by now.
So there’s a lot of hope. There are, of course, also obstacles. But with the momentum that comes from focus, planning and organization, we can address these obstacles head-on.
As I see it, there are three issues that ordinary citizens can impact RIGHT NOW if we work hard.
(1) voter disinformation in California;
(2) lack of understanding of how super delegates work, and continued reportage of super delegates in the total count generally as a way of suppressing the vote; and
(3) the networks’ surreal, jaw-droppingly out-in-the-open plans to falsely announce Clinton as the winner of the nom on June 7 at 8 p.m. Eastern, effectively suppressing voting from 5 p.m. Pacific on in California.
There are other issues, of course. Such as the media continuing to spend more time convincing people Sanders is “disingenuous” to stay in the race (WTH?), and that his supporters are petulant whiners or fringe idealists (WTH?)—or pretending to scratch their heads over his appeal (WTH?)—than they do trying to support fair elections and fully call out Clinton on her email/server lies.
But we’ve dealt with the generally lopsided and vexingly obtuse nature of coverage all along all along. Right now, we need to focus on the issues specifically threatening a Sanders victory on June 7.
We can do it—and I created this resource toolbox for sharing and informing others all weekend long and through Tuesday.
INFORM VOTERS IN CALIFORNIA THAT IF THEY ARE NO PARTY PREFERENCE (NPP) THEY NEED A CROSSOVER BALLOT.
There’s, naturally, a fair amount of crap going on in California. Not surprising, but still an outrage. Attorneys are on top of some of it, though how much difference it will make come voting day, who knows.
We’ve seen and heard reports of registrations changed or not changed, polling places changes, and closed, poll workers trained to give out provisional ballots instead of crossovers, and so on. I am even hearing that CA may run out of ballots (which happened in Maricopa County in Arizona in March). In this day and age of technology, we can’t anticipate and ensure sufficient ballot supplies? Come on.
But if we could just focus on ONE ISSUE, right now, it should be this: No Party Preference (NPP) voters need to know that Bernie’s name will NOT be on their ballot; they will have to get a CROSSOVER BALLOT at early vote location or polling place. They can exchange their ballot for a Democratic/crossover ballot on voting day.
I and many others have run into this phone-banking, and the Sanders campaign is focusing on this as well. The media will not get the word out about this (they’re too busy planning their voter suppression announcement on June 7), so we have to do it.
Please share the image to the right with everyone you know on social media. Post the bold text above on your social accounts.
And PLEASE—get on the phone for an HOUR sometime this weekend, just one hour. An hour a day through Tuesday if you can. Yes, I am busy as heck too, but I’m going to do it. This is the final push! This is what we’ve worked toward for a year!
You might talk to 5 people who otherwise wouldn’t have known about the ballot and might get bamboozled” voting for Bernie. 1,000 of us talking to 5 people who wouldn’t have otherwise known? The math starts to add up.
“Small acts, when multiplied by millions of people, can transform the world.”
― Howard Zinn
It starts with you. Now. This is it. California’s going to play a key role in what happens at the convention. Get the word out.
2. SHARE THESE COGENT RESOURCES ON HOW SUPERDELEGATES REALLY WORK, WHY THE CONVENTION WILL BE CONTESTED, AND WHY CLINTON WILL NOT HAVE THE NOMINATION ON JUNE 7.
First here’s the message:
CLINTON WILL NOT HAVE WON THE NOMINATION ON JUNE 7. THERE IS NO WAY. NOT MATHEMATICALLY POSSIBLE. Get this word out.
She could only be considered to have “won” if you count super delegates, WHO HAVE NOT VOTED YET AND WILL NOT VOTE TILL JULY. (And they have some serious s**t to consider first, you know?) Those were always pledges, promises, nothing more—made well before the race ever began, exchanged for money/favors. She doesn’t actually “have” them yet.
Key pieces for understanding superdelegates generally, the math in this race specifically, and the politics of it all:
- https://www.facebook.com/TheBernReport/videos/287455514922871/ (BERNIE HIMSELF)
You should read all of the above, for a full understanding. And share.
But right now, BOTTOM LINE, per Shaun King:
Hillary Clinton does not have 2,311 delegates, as shown by CNN. That tally, in spite of being told by the Democratic Party not to include them, includes over 500 superdelegates. Again, those people have not yet voted, and in the words of the DNC’s own communications director, are “likely to change their mind.”
Hillary Clinton, according to the Associated Press, actually has 1,769 delegates, and Bernie Sanders has 1,499, with 913 delegates still available from the upcoming primaries on June 7th and June 14th. To cross the 2,383 threshold required to secure the nomination, Hillary Clinton needs 614 more delegates. That means she needs to win 67.2% of the remaining delegates to become the nominee.
On June 7th and June 14th, Hillary Clinton will not win 67.2% of the delegates. She is not currently favored to win 67.2% of the vote in one of the remaining states. On June 7th, she won’t have enough delegates. On June 14th, she won’t have enough delegates.
3. SHARE THIS INFORMATION ON WHAT THE NETWORKS PLAN TO DO ON JUNE 7, AND BOYCOTT THEM.
Summary of what’s going on:
CHRIS MATTHEWS ON MSNBC: “I’m told by the experts on numbers around here on NBC and elsewhere that come June 7, the day of the California primary…that at 8:00 that night Eastern time, that the networks will be prepared, including this one, to announce that Hillary Clinton has gotten over the top, that she will have won the nomination in numbers. It’s done. What will that do to turnout, if that’s 5:00 Pacific time with three more hours to vote in California? Who will be least likely to vote, Sanders people from five to eight [o’clock] or Hillary? I’ve heard both theories.”
SHAUN KING: “Anyone who ‘calls the election’ on June 7th, be it the Clinton campaign or television networks, is knowingly and deliberately going against the very rules of the party.”
IN MORE OF KING’S WORDS:
“What followed, if Matthews is to be taken at his word, is clear evidence that television networks are colluding together to call the primary for Hillary Clinton before she reaches the delegates needed to claim victory. By doing so, they will absolutely suppress the vote in the final states that will be cast ballots in the Democratic primary. Even by mentioning it now, that the networks have already set the date and time they are calling the race for Hillary, what Matthews has done runs the very real risk of suppressing voter turnout. It’s disgusting.
Hillary Clinton needs 633 pledged delegates to cross the threshold she needs. That’s a bit more than 64% of the remaining delegates and she is not predicted to win even one of the remaining states by that margin.
In other words, after the final primaries are held in June, Hillary Clinton will not have won enough pledged delegates to be the nominee. Period.
For Chris Matthews to say that he has insider information that at 5pm EST on June 7, the race is being called because Hillary will have “gotten over the top” and that she will have “won the nomination in numbers” is simply not true.
The 68% of the superdelegates who have pledged to support her, did so before a single vote was cast or delegate was awarded. Their support of Clinton has never been about her winning votes or delegates, it’s always been about loyalty.
Counting what people are promising to do 45 days before they have done it would be like calling a state for Hillary Clinton in late February when it doesn’t actually vote until early April — simply because a poll said they intended to vote a certain way.”
Redacted Tonight video—the same story, with humor:
“Hilary Clinton absolutely will not be the winner on June 7 because super delegates don’t vote till the convention. So unless Bernie Sanders disappears because he got back into his time machine and returned to whichever future civilization sent him here to try desperately to save us…unless that happens, Hillary will not get the nomination on June 7.”
WHAT CAN YOU DO?
- SPREAD the links above.
- BOYCOTT mainstream media on June 7, if you don’t already.
- SIGN my petition to network heads (http://petitions.moveon.org/sign/network-heads-dont-lie?source=c.fwd&r_by=1453494).
IN CLOSING: It is appalling the way this country obstructs the vote, runs elections like a horse race and continues to protect a “democratic” candidate who’s crippled by her own arrogance, dishonesty and self-interest in a way that is finally becoming undeniable even to deniers.
It is terrifying that no one seems too hot and bothered about news like this—news of voter suppression of every kind from the TV to the ballot box, from Arizona to New York and now, preliminarily, to California—except Sanders supporters. Then we are called “sore losers” if we raise these issues. How warped is that? But how convenient, too. Kind of like not voting for/supporting the Iraq war was “unpatriotic.” This is actually a key element of fascism—sorry, but it is—vilify those who are protesting the heinous behavior, labeling it in unsavory ways, making the honest ones the enemy.
We’re sore losers because we want voters to actually be able to vote for the candidate they intend to vote for, and have their votes be counted? And because we want networks not to say Clinton won the nomination on Tuesday at 5 p.m.—since it will suppress the vote AND THERE IS NO WAY THAT SHE CAN WIN THE NOMINATION BEFORE THE CONVENTION?
Complacency and “asleepness,” and distraction with toys and candy, is how the millionaire-billionaire club took complete ownership of our country, our political process, and our media, and warped our democracy into an oligarchy. And has even brainwashed a good mass of people into thinking that you should help that club—which has no care, only contempt for you—maintain their status quo. One of the sickening parts of this entire scene is watching ordinary people turn on other ordinary people who are rising up to create change and restore democracy. Hushing and slamming their fellow Americans, unwittingly doing the legwork for oppressors. Straight out of the U.S. playbook described by Noam Chomsky in A Requiem for the American Dream.
The oligarchy will SUCCEED at keeping things their way now, if more people don’t wake up and stop doing the billionaire club’s bidding by parroting their destructive narratives and pointing fingers at those trying to change it.
“If those in charge of our society—politicians, corporate executives, and owners of press and television—can dominate our ideas, they will be secure in their power. They will not need soldiers patrolling the streets. We will control ourselves.”
― Howard Zinn
If you are awake, poke a sleeping person near you.
We are at the critical moment of our destiny as a nation and people. Do you want the millionaire liar who might not beat the other millionaire liar? Or do you want to finally put a stop to this crazy bulls**t?
Do this work for the next three or four days.
And one more suggestion while you do: do not stop to have conversations and arguments about whether you will vote for Hillary Clinton in the general if she is the nominee. I’ve been saying this for months, but never more true than now—we don’t have time for that. It doesn’t matter right now. It’s a bigger IF than ever. And it’s an argument we can have later, IF we need to.
But right now, it’s moot, and every minute you spend having this argument is a minute you could be phone banking or sharing important info. (Notice that Sanders himself answers every question about “what if you don’t…” by refusing to speculate, replying, “Right now, we’re focused on winning the nomination.” And he’s right. Follow his lead. it makes sense. it’s simply about focus.)
We’re working to make sure we don’t even have to have that discussion. She’s weaker than ever, even if you didn’t already believe she tends to lie a lot, even if the fact that she is a Republican neocon war hawk doesn’t worry you, even if you didn’t notice how weak a candidate she was (given that she never pulled very much ahead of Sanders in spite of her massive multi-pronged head start and her DNC and media monopoly, AND that she can’t poll much ahead of arguably the dumbest most racist jackass in the free world).
We have an excellent candidate who is very very close to victory for all the right reasons, without any of the dirt that emanates off of every other candidate. Smart, passionate, principled, compassionate, consistent, courageous, historically correct, heartfelt and refreshingly human, he is winning for all the right reasons—a phenomenon in itself. He has every possible reason to make his case to superdelegates in July, delegates who were conceived for exactly the kind moment we find ourselves in now.
Or as Seth Abramson put it:
Bernie Sanders saying that he plans to go to the Party’s summer convention and argue that he’s best positioned to win the general election is the veritable dictionary definition of “playing by the rules.”
He has done the work, and so have we. Now let’s bring him home. It could be a very good four years (and beyond) for the nation, the middle class, and our planet. Maybe not so much for the oligarchy, but they’ll live.
Without this brave and powerful leader? We might not.
Get cracking. Fight injustice.
HERE ARE SOME OTHER EXCELLENT RESOURCES FOR SHARING AND FOR EDUCATING YOURSELF.
THE EMAIL ISSUE:
This scandal wasn’t a Republican hit-job. It wasn’t from a vast right-wing conspiracy. This news segment wasn’t from the hacks at Fox News.It was all of Hillary’s doing. It’s too late for her to simply own up to it. The only way for her to fix this for the Democratic Party is for her to bow out gracefully. Now, you and I know that’s not really the Clinton way, but we are all faced with the painful reality that this scandal makes her that much weaker against Donald Trump. In the days ahead, the polls will no doubt show as much.My sincere guess is that Clinton and the Democratic establishment will do nothing to own up to this. They’re in so deep to one another that they couldn’t see a way out if they tried.– SHAUN KING, NY DAILY NEWS
Now, for the very first time, Hillary Clinton is not just losing in the polls to Donald Trump, she is losing in the Real Clear Politics average of all of the polls.
Beyond the shock and awe of seeing Donald Trump leading in the polls for the American presidency, they revealed two more very disturbing facts.
In one, for the very first time, the number of people who disliked Hillary Clinton actually eclipsed the number of people who disliked Donald Trump.
In another, 44% of those who were polled said they’d seriously consider a third party candidate. That’s the highest number ever recorded in recent history.